18 November, Kathmandu. The CPN-UML, which became the proportionally largest party in the House of Representatives, won 33 seats.
According to the Election Commission, only a few votes are left to be counted, in such a situation, there is less possibility of change in the seats given to the parties. UML, which got 27 lakh 88 thousand 356 votes, is expected to get 33 seats.
It is observed that UML can send up to 15 persons. Article 84(8) of the Constitution provides that ‘not less than one-third of the total members to be elected to the Union Parliament shall be women’.
The UML has won 44 seats outright in the House of Representatives. The UML has 15 MPs in the National Assembly. The UML will have a total of 92 seats in the federal parliament. As per constitutional provisions, there should be at least 31 women MPs from the UML in the federal parliament.
Out of 44 elected in the House of Representatives, 4 women have been elected. In the National Assembly, 9 out of 15 UML MPs are women. In other words, since only 13 women MPs reached the federal parliament, the UML should have 18 women out of 33 proportional MPs.
According to the Proportional Election Guide for Members of the House of Representatives 2079, the party that gets 33 MPs should choose the following MPs from the following groups.
|Cluster / Percent||total mp||the minimum||Max||Adivasi/Tribe 28.7||10||5-6||4-5||Special Arya 31.2||10||5-6||4-5||Tharu 6.6||2||1-2||0-1||Dalit 13.8||5||2-3||2-3||Madhesi 15.3||5||2-3||2-3||Muslim 4.4||1||1||0||gross||33||18||15|
Since 18 women should compulsorily be selected, the percentage should be taken from each cluster and the names should be sent according to the cluster. If the result is in decimal, then elected MPs with one digit less or more will be eligible to be elected.
Thus, it is ensured that women will be selected proportionally from each cluster due to the legal system that a minimum number of women should be selected.
According to this, 5 women will be elected in the special Arya Paksha of UML. Menka Kumari Pokharel, Sarita Bhusal, Shobha Gyawali, Bijula Rayamajhi, Nirmala Koirala Khas Arya are at the forefront of the women’s quota.
In the tribal side, at least 5 people will be elected namely Nainkala Thapa Magar, Suryakumari Shrestha, Urmila Theve, Ishwari Gharti, Rankumari Balampaki Magar. The election of Ashma Kumari Chowdhary from Tharu Kota seems certain. Rukmini Rana Bareilly and Harkamaya Vishwakarma will be elected from Dalit quota. Veena Devi and Amrita Devi Agrahari will be elected from Madheshi quota. Ruhi Naaz will be elected from the Muslim quota.
In case of other candidates there is only a possibility that they will be selected if the number in the quota changes, but it is not certain.
Which is likely to be male?
The UML will send all the MPs it wants to send to women, so there is no legal problem. However, if the minimum quota to be sent to women is set aside and men are sent to the rest, it appears that a maximum of 15 people will have the opportunity to become MPs. There will be a maximum of 5 male MPs for tribals. It stars Devi Prakash Bhattachan, Hemraj Rai, Kaluram Rai, Bhim Bahadur Khawas and Saroj Dangol respectively.
There is a possibility of 5 people being selected for Measles. That list includes Raghuji Pant, Eknath Dhakal, Kumar Dasaudi, Dayal Bahadur Shahi and Khimlal Pokhrel, respectively. Similarly, if maximum number of men are elected from the Madhesi side, there are chances of Ganga Prasad Yadav, Amrit Lal Rajvanshi and Upendra Prasad Shah.
UML can also send maximum 3 male MPs from Dalit group. Ishwar Bahadur Rijal, Prabhu Hazara Dusadh, Chandra Bahadur Vishwakarma are in this group.
UML should elect 1 man if Thiruma Hadai. Satyanarayana Choudhary is number 1 in Tharu cluster.
Only 1 person will be selected in Muslim quota with no possibility of male as UML has to send a female. But Muslim MPs can be added to the remaining part by sending at least one MP from the other cluster.